Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Vindy's Picks Week 6-2009


WASHINGTON, District of Columbia (AP)...Rookie Justice Sonia Sotomayor re-entered the spotlight this week as an unknown quantity or an X-factor as the Supreme Court convened again on Monday for its next term. The Vegas Vindicator, who was in the nation’s capitol interested in the decision on the issue facing the court involving licensing of NFL merchandise, met with Sotomayor and recalled that during her confirmation hearings in July, the then-Supreme Court Justice candidate mentioned she was inspired to become a prosecutor by the Perry Mason show. It was later noted, Mason was a defense attorney, who lost only one case, while the regularly-appearing prosecutor generally got his butt kicked. Vindy revealed the impetus for him taking up football forecasting was Don Adams’ character, Agent 86, on Get Smart! (In fact, the Weber Kid has been quoted apologizing for his blown lock picks and best bets as quipping, “Sorry about that, Chief!” And after losing his ATS bet by a half-point, would babble, “Missed it by that much!”). We also caught Vindy using the cordless rotary-dial phone in his shoe to make bets with his off-shore bookie!

Our prestigious prognosticator was just 4-4 through halftime of the Trojans-Bears game, but rallied to grab 6 of the 8 night games to finish at 10-6 for Week Five (51-40-1, 560). By the way, the Supreme Court Justice later said she “ would hope a wise Latina woman, with the richness of her experiences, more often than not would reach a better conclusion on spread picks than a white male who hasn’t lived that life!” after reviewing....


#21 Nebraska over #24 MISSOURI giving 3:
Both teams off a bye week, but this is a sandwich home game between a pair of away tilts for Mizzou. Tigers opened last year 3-1 ATS, then went 2-7 the rest of the way. Nebraska’s perfect 4-0 SU/ATS with three wins over the Fun Belt and shoulda’-been-win at Virginia Tech. Mizzou ripped floundering Illini and Furman, Bowling Green and Reno. Huskers look to avenge a pair of outright blowouts by Missouri in ‘07 and ‘08...’Huskers 28 Tigers 20

SAT. OCT. 10
#1 Florida over #4 LSU giving 7 1/2:
The only question is whether or not Tim Teeter-Totter will take the field. Bengals have a Top 10 pass defense, but Gators pass D is Numero Uno and they sport a Top 20 rush defense as well. LSU went 1-3 SU/ATS last year vs. ranked teams and lost by 30 in the Swamp in 2008. Sports Illustrated has noted the Gators have been beaten outright by at least one team from the SEC West ten straight years, but Coach Meyer’s teams excel at covering the line following a bye week....Da’ Chomp 24 Bayou Bengals 13

Colorado over #2 TEXAS taking 32: ‘Horns were off last week (and we ain’t crushed about that!). Hats off to Coach Hawkins and his Buffaloes, who kept playing hard when it appeared West Virginia had the game (and the cover) put away late. Bison lost by 11, but posted their second straight cover despite missing three FGs following 0-2 start and open this year 1-0 as road dogs after 4-14-1 spread record in that role coming in. Steers won 38-14 last season, despite giving up 4 sacks to CU...Steers 42 Bison 17

#3 Alabama over #20 MISSISSIPPI giving 6: Crimson Tide’s beaten Ole Miss outright four straight years, but by 3, 3, 3 and 4...with no covers! Rebels have won the rubles nine times in last ten tries vs. ranked teams and are 16-9-1 ATS against fellow SEC teams the past three-plus seasons. The textbooks at the center of Tide’s off-season scandal included ”See Dick Run....the Offense” (subtitled “See Forrest Run...Run, Forrest, Run!”) and a Dr. Seuss-Shakespeare collaboration we like to call.... “Green Eggs & Hamlet”.... ‘Bama 29 Ole Miss 20

#5 VIRGINIA TECH over Boston College giving 13 1/2: No faith in this choice. A dozen flags didn’t help Hokies’ cause in a game against Duke that was entirely too close, with the Devils ending each of the first three quarters even on the scoreboard. Eagles took a 15-point halftime lead to the locker room then hung on against the Injuns. BC seems to reward backers against Tech, covering 7 of last 10 and fares well as a road dog, going 6-2 against the line in last 8 chances... VT 28 BC 13

#6 Boise State: IDLE (next @ Tulsa 10/14)

#7 USC: IDLE (next @ Notre Dame)

#8 Cincinnati: IDLE (next @ South Florida 10/15)

Wisconsin over #9 OHIO STATE taking 14: We considered locking against Ohio State again. Badgers won a wild one last week at Minnesota, who had a receiver gain 140 yards, while 247-lb Wisky RB John Clay countered with 184 yards on the ground. Badgers just 4-9 away from Camp Randall the last two-plus years and lost just 20-17 at home in 2008. Buckeyes have beaten the number four straight times since near-upset by the Midshipmen. Badgers, at 5-0 SU to-date, would grab a Top 25 spot with a victory...State 20 Cheeseheads 12

AIR FORCE over #10 Texas Christian taking 10 : Falcons off OT loss to the Middies and carry 13-5 ATS run vs. other Mountain Best squads (though just 1-1 this year vs. conference bottom-feeders New Mexico and San Diego State). Something has to give here as Frogs take their #1 rushing defense (1.8 yards per carry) into the home hangar of the Pilots, whose #1 rushing offense boasts 4.6 yards per tote (averaging 63 carries a game)! Toads embarrassed the Flyboys in Ft. Worth last year 44-10, but USAF beat TCU 20-17 in OT in ‘07 in Colorado Springs. Given the way the campaign’s gone already this year, an upset won’t be a surprise....Amphibians 17 Aim High 16

Florida A&M @ #11 MIAMI: No line.

Michigan over #12 IOWA taking 8: Those guys that donned the Hawkeyes unis in near-loss to Northern Iowa in the opener showed up again last week vs. Arkansas State. Iowa is unreliable 5-10 the last three seasons laying points at home (1-1 this season) and a crapshoot vs. the rest of the Big Tenderfoot conference. A late rally for Michigan finally came up short at Michigan State. Big Blue just 2-8 ATS vs. fellow conference clubs under RichRod. ASU running back McNutt rushed for 121 yards on 4 carries....Iowa 21 Wolverines 17

UCLA over #13 Oregon taking 6: Trends support the Bruins here as UCLA has the cover in 3 of last 4 in the series. Bruins lost by 8 on the Pond last season and pitched a shutout at the Rose Bowl in ‘07. UCLA fell two points short of Vindy’s best bet nod last week despite being down 24-6 to Stanford after three quarters. Decoys may be without starting QB Masoli, but starter-quality reserve Nate Costa managed the game well last week with Masoli on the bench in the second half. Oregon’s covered three straight since shootout vs. Purdue. UCLA’s 12-5 ATS the last three years against ranked teams and 9-2 as home dogs over that same period....Drakes 23 UCLA 19

Eastern Illinois @ #14 PENN STATE: No line.

#15 Oklahoma State over TEXAS A&M giving 8: Almost locked this one too. First road game of the year for the Cowpokes, who come in rested after blasting Grambling two weeks ago. Aggies, who were demolished by Arkansas last week, have wins Mexico, Utah State (by 6 home!) and UAB. Okie State is just 1-2 ATS this year, but beat A&M by 28 last season. Again, we ask the same question we posed during Week Five’s Joja’ Tech- Mississippi State analysis...has the gap between these two narrowed that significantly since last year???!!! ...OKSU 37 TAMU 20

#16 KANSAS over Iowa State giving 20: Cyclowns were the other guys to hose Vindy in a best bet role last week., losing SU to Kansas State. Jayhawks got a bye last Saturday, should be fired up to rip State during the Kansas Homecoming week and have missed the cover only five times in last 18 tries giving points at home...Kansas 38 ISU 13

#17 Auburn over ARKANSAS giving 2 1/2 : LOCK OF DA’ WEEK. We tip our helmet to the Razorbacks for blowing out A&M last week, but this is still a young team (though an even younger one beat Auburn 24-21 in 2008). Tigers have quietly made their presence known and now stalk the Top 25 from within. Aubie’s game vs. Tennessee was not as close as the final score suggests given sixteen 4th Quarter points (including final 6 as the clock hit :00) by the Vols....Tigers 31 Pigs 20

#18 Brigham Young over UNLV giving 16 1/2 : Coach Mendenhall let it be known he wants to spend post-season somewhere other than Sin City (after four straight appearances in Vegas Bowl), but we figure this is the first of two trips this year to our fair berg.. Rebels held their annual preseason practices in the little rural town of Ely, Nevada, which is also home to a pair of brothels (and not much else!). The local “industry” was reportedly off-limits to the athletes (no word on restrictions for coaches and staff), but on the last day of training camp, Vindy’s spies watched the UNLV kick-return team practice the last-ditch, gadget play known as the “hooker-and-lateral”!... Church of LDS 41 Rubbles 17

Baylor over #19 OKLAHOMA taking 25: Even if Sam Bradford returns to direct the Sooners offense, how long will he play knowing the Texas games looms the following week? If Vindicator was Coach Stoops, we’ wouldn’t play Bradford after halftime...enough to get back to game-speed, but hopefully not long enough to invite re-injury. Boomer Sooner will also be without useful WR Broyles (out with injury), who averages 6 catches a game for about 86 yards. Bears lowered points-allowed by 8 per game in Coach Briles first season... Okie-Dokie 37 Baylor 15

#22 Georgia Tech over FLORIDA STATE taking 3: Jimbo’s in limbo (for now), but folks in Tallahassee want Bobby to Bow(den) out! ‘Noles mustered another strong second-half effort last week, but too little too little this time vs. Boston College, despite two receivers gaining over 100 yards each. The Bees, too, can throw out of the triple-option, with D. Thomas snaring 174 yards worth last week in between rushes that helped Tech keep possession for 13 more minutes than Mississippi State. Injuns just 7-15 ATS as home chalk...’Jackets 17 ‘Noles 13

#23 South Florida: IDLE (next vs. Cincinnati 10/15)

#25 SOUTH CAROLINA over Kentucky giving 11: Defense has been the weakness for the ‘Cats, while the Gamecocks have held everybody but Georgia to 16 or less. Carolina’s topped 35 three times in five games (including the aforementioned match against the Bulldogs). SC’s enjoying its fourth consecutive home game, while KY faces its third straight Top 25 foe...Poultry 34 Kentucky 16

Break up the Vandals!....Idaho, who came into this season with just three total SU victories in the previous two seasons (two of which came vs. I-AA clubs Idaho State and Cal Poly), is 4-1 SU and 5-0 against the spread! The Spudheads are also on a 9-2 ATS run back to October of 2008.

Following the 63-28 trouncing of UNLV, Reno back-up RB Mike Ball, who racked up five scores and 184 yards, was quoted as saying, “My mother could have run through some of those holes.”. In a surprise move, Mike Sanford has offered the Ball family matriarch a short-term scholarship to play on the scout team this week as the Rebels prepare to face BYU!

Three Dallas Cowboys linemen make up the heavy-metal band Free Reign.. Will their music career thrive or will they simply be one illegal-hit wonders???!!! Can’t wait to see the Guitar Hero version hit the shelves of Toys-R-Us just in time for the Christmas... Rush!

After his streak of 185 with at least one winning bet came to an end last weekend, Terrell Owens did his best “broken record” impersonation, responding to each media question with “whether I like ‘em or not, I’m just goin’ with the Vindy’s Picks that are called.”

Stop by Vindy’s B&B this week for a great big Breaded Porkchop-Block...a nice swine dish served below the customer’s knees!

Sarah Palin’s high school career goal was to be a sportscaster, but she passed on ESPN because of the distance between Alaska and Connecticut, though offered a tribute by naming her first-born female child Bristol. Coulda’ been worse. The former Veep candidate coulda’ been a serious fan of the national pastime and in honor of a couple ESPN Baseball Tonight segments, elected to call her daughter ...”Touch ‘Em All” or (GASP!)...”That’s Nasty!”

Black Shirt: We gratefully hand the ebony tee to Utah State QB Diondre Borel, whose 16-yard touchdown pass as time expired vs. BYU secured the cover and Vindy’s first forecast win of da’ week last Friday night!

“Locked in a Box?”: The Nifty Lions covered easily at Illinois and raise the lock tally to 3-2 (.600).

Shoppe Talk: Texas was idle and Miami gets off the schnide with an upset of Oklahoma, but the Bayou Bengals wander in this week at 1-4 (.200).

Vindy’s Week 6 Best Bets: Last Week: 2-2 Season: 10-10 (.500)
Georgia +1 1/2 over TENNESSEE, Texas-El Paso -2 1/2 over MEMPHIS, Idaho +4 over SAN JOSE STATE, New Mexico +10 1/2 over WYOMING, UConn +8 over PITT

Vindy’s now going to log on to and upload a photo to create his own VISA parlay card (which will play Rick James’ Superfreak everytime he swipes it at the sportsbook)!

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