Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Vindy's Picks Week 3-2016


NCAA BANKING ON “BOGO” OF DIFFERENT KIND
INDIANAPOLIS, Indiana (UPI)…College football officials are implementing an innovative BOGO program akin to the retailers’ “Buy One, Get One” deals. Under the new regulations, teams that block field goals are then awarded the three points-in-question. The change is expected to result in more-heavily recruitment of defensive-players, even by such offensive juggernauts as Oregon. Alternatives discussed included teams making the block the chance to pocket the stop for second-blocks at the time of their choosing later in the game, known as “Block One, Get One”. NFL, NHL and NBA, as well as college basketball teams, are also reportedly exploring similar options in their own leagues.

Elsewhere, in Sin City, the dreaded regression-formula caught-up to our humble host in a big way in Week 2, resulting in a very-pedestrian 7-9-1 (17-15-1, .531 season), though we did hit our second upset pick in three tries and called the exact 51-14 final score of Michigan's dubya over Central Florida. Failing more-often than a North Korean missile launch, it’s…

THE WEBER KID’S 2016 WEEK 3 FORECAST
                                                                        (“Not criminal, just careless”)

THURS. SEPT. 15
CINCINNATI (+7 ½) over #6 Houston: There’s more pressure on the Coogs to win this one than on Cincy. In addition, QB Ward Jr. may not be 100% after sustaining injury in Week One (though he did sit out Houston’s win over Lamar). ‘Cats are in a rare home-dog role and look for a little redemption after losing 33-30 last season. Cougars have been money as road-faves the past three years, but…Houston 38 Cincy 34

FRI. SEPT. 16
RICE (+30 ½) over #21 Baylor: We watched Rice take it to Western Kentucky early-and-often in the opener, but unnecessary flags negated otherwise-conversions on 3rd Downs. Demoralized by that, Barnyard Fowl eventually succumbed and ‘Toppers would do what they do best in the rout. Visit by highly=motivated Oklahoma State up next and Coach Grobe has been dismal as outta’-conference chalk layin’ more than a TD (per Marc Lawrence). Owls 0-2 vs. da’ spread to-date, but…Bears 34 Owls 17

SAT. SEPT. 17
#1 Alabama (-10) over #19 MISSISSIPPI: Not a true revenge game since last season’s defeat didn’t stop Tide from grabbin’ a national title anyway, but it was the only stain on an otherwise pristine W-L record…and the second loss to the Rebels in as many years. ‘Bama’s won a total of six games by single-digits over the past three campaigns, with the rest of the tilts being double-digit victories or…SU losses. So two options here…lay the points with UA or take Old Mist to win it outright for the hat-trick…Tide 33 Mississippi 16

#2 Florida State (-2 ½) over #10 LOUISVILLE: This is a game we’d rather simply watch than pick (and we certainly ain’t droppin’ no dollahs on it). Changed our mind a couple times on this selection. ‘Noles’ rout of then-FCS Top Ten Charleston Southern is maybe a little skewed given suspensions of more than dozen CS players for that game and FSU hasn’t won a road contest by this few since 2009, while the remainder were victories by at least four points or outright defeats. Cards boast Heisman-hopeful QB Lamar Jackson. We almost settled on “over 65 ½” and might wish we had…Tribe 41 Redbirds 38
#3 Ohio State (+1) over #14 OKLAHOMA: Coaching advantage and maybe talent ad to OSU as well…Buckeyes (hey, whatta’ we got to lose?! See Shoppe Talk below) 31 Sooners 27

Colorado (+20) over #4 MICHIGAN: LOCK OF DA’ WEEK. There was some published-chatter last week about Wolverines maybe peeking past Central Florida ahead to date with the Bison, but we think UM actually takes Colorado lightly in lieu of upcoming conference-opener against da’ Alma Mater! Smoldering in Boulder, beneath those 2-to-4-win seasons, was some very-quiet improvement by UC, including reduction of points-allowed last year by a dozen ppg and some tough losses to Oregon, UCLA and Southern Cal. Buffs came out showing some early moxie, blasting rival CSU (after some close contests in years-past) and an appropriate whipping of FCS Idaho State…Wolverines 34 Colorado 24
SC State @ #5 CLEMSON: No line.

Southern Cal (+8 ½) over #7 STANFORD: Trees 23 Troy 19
Portland State @ #8 WASHINGTON: No line.

#9 WISCONSIN (-34) over Georgia State: Badgers 41 Joja’ State 6
#11 Texas (-7 ½) over CALIFORNIA: Bares cost us a “best bet” pick, hangin’ long-enough with revenge-minded San Diego State last week, but Steers are also targeting squads that beat ‘em last year. According to Marc Lawrence’s Playbook.Com, Cattle fair better off consecutive SU defeats in this situation, but have a pair of victories in as many tries to-date. We’ll shade Berkeley again here, noting 2015’s 45-44 track-meet win by da’ Bears…Texas 42 Ursa Minor 31

#12 Michigan State @ #18 NOTRE DAME (“under 51 ½”): Best guess for “wish we had it back”. We have sucked dirty pond-water tryin’ to guess correctly on totals rather than sides thus far, but Vindy’s a slow-learner. Spartans followed unimpressive 15-point victory over I-AA Furman with a bye week. Our Lady has at least had two live-fire contests to work out some bugs. State opened 0-fer-6 ATS in 2015 and didn’t come to close to -39 vs. the Paladins. Bulletin board material might include the fact that the most-recent meeting between the two was a 17-13 win by the Irish in 2013…da’ Spartans’ only defeat that season. Can’t wait to see Melania Trump on ESPN’s Not Top Ten segment attempting to lead the Frightenin’ Irish players in a sideline-chant of “Ruuuuby, Ruuuuuby, Ruuuuuby, Ruuuuuby” or “Roooomie, Roooomie, Roooomie, Roooomie!” …Leprechauns 24 MSU 17
North Dakota State @ #13 IOWA: No line. Hawkeyes host the winner of the last five FCS national titles. Bison are 2-0 thus far with both victories coming in extra-frames, including last week’s 50-44 win over E-DUB team that toppled Wazzou in Week One! Not gonna’ be shocked to see Iowa go down. Maybe the Big 12 should consider adding NDSU!

Ohio (+27 ½) over #15 TENNESSEE: Rocky Top 44 Bobblecats 20
#16 Georgia (-6 ½) over MISSOURI: A sports-journalist hailin’ from The A-T-L pointed-out that at least one apparel-vendor, ahead of the Georgia Tech-Boston College tilt in Dublin, on da’ Emerald Isle was hawkin’ a tee promotin’ the game as “Georgia vs. Boston”.  We can only speculate how fans of the ‘Dawgs from Athens and Terriers of FCS Beantown Terriers felt about that. (BTW, the helmet-colors on said- undergarments looked more like Penn State vs. Da’ Cleveland Browns!). New Joja’ head coach Kirby Smart was da’ Man on D at ‘Bama. He needed every ounce of that knowledge as UGA narrowly-dodged the upset by I-AA Nicholls State last Saturday. Tigers posted single-digits in six games last year and in 5 of last 7 and were held to 11 in opener at West Virginia …’Dawgs 27 Mizzou 13

AUBURN (-3 ½) over #17 Texas A& M: Tigers 38 Aggies 31
Mississippi State (+13) over #20 LSU: Tigers show solid 7-3 ATS record giving points in Baton Rouge. MSU lost by 2 last season, but opened 2016 with shocking defeat by South ‘Bama. Nonetheless we’re just not comfortable coughing up almost two touchdowns with LSU in conference (and division) play yet…Bengals 28 Bulldogs 17

NEBRASKA (-1) over #22 Oregon: Corn Cobs 31 Drakes 27
#23 FLORIDA (-36) over North Texas: Vols on-deck for the Gators, so no faith in this pick. Last weekend, UF renamed its playing surface to Steve Spurrier-Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Honoring the fiery coach further, the logo at centerfield featured a giant visor…Crocs 45 Mean Green 6

Texas State (+31) over #24 ARKANSAS: Pigs 47 Bobblecats 20
#25 Miami (-3 ½) over APPALACHIAN STATE: Oh hell no! Second choice for “lock”. Yeah, ‘Eers shoulda’ taken-out Tennessee. They didn’t. Pelicans will be on full-alert...’Canes 29 Application State 20

BETWEEN THE HASHMARKS
BTW, if da’ PGA goes all-in on the above concept, will it be “Birdie One, Get One” rather than “Bogey One, Get One”???!!!!

In related news, golfers in Rio hit the Olympic links for the first time in over a hundred years. Medalists took the stand to receive the gold, silver and…five-iron?! Meanwhile, advocates of PPGA (Professional Putt-Putt Golf Association)/miniature golf are now petitioning for a provisional spot in the 2020 Games in Tokyo!
Da’ Little Guys Strike Back (some mo’!): The lower division posted triumphs again last week on the road facing I-A competition…#24 NC A&T 39-36 over Kent State, unranked and no votes in the poll Eastern Illinois 21-17 over Miami Oh-No! and (GASP!) #9 Illinois State 9-7 over Northwestern! Closer than expected…Arizona 31-21 over Grambling State, Bowling Green 27-26 over North Dakota, Hawaii 41-36 over Tennessee-Martin and (GASP!) Joja’ 26-24 over Nicholls State!

Last May, Wheel of Fortune finished in a tie for the first time in more than a decade. Adopting college football OT rules, each contestant then got possession of Vanna White at the 25-yard line and tried to score!
“Gotta’ catch ‘em all”…not Pokemon Go, but the credo of every college and pro WR and TE!

Suspended QB Jimmy Garropolo was spotted in Sin City at the Cosmopolitan, which reportedly has up to a dozen Pokestops or Pokegyms and four-score more within about a mile radius!
NFL meets Reservoir (Under) ‘Dogs meets Pokemon Go…”(Cleveland) Browns to da’ left of me, jokers to my right…here I am…stuck in da’ middle Pikachu.”

Da’ Seahawks’ contest at L.A. will be broadcast in semi-live, semi-animation as the Birds will be led by the “Son of Jim Zorn!”
During Sunday’s Giants-COWBOYS game, we heard Eli Manning checking to different plays at the line-of-scrimmage, barking  Oriole…oriole!” Fer da’ Game of Thrones fans, maybe that was code for “Send a raven! Send a raven!”??? Maybe he was actually calling “Oreo…oreoooo”???!!! Or hallucinating about a certain underwater Disney princess…”Ariel…Ariellllle!”???!!!

Hours after the U.N. Security Council levied new penalties on North Korea in wake of recent missile tests back in March, the communist nation launched a barrage of short-range projectiles into the sea. Upon further review, they were actually badminton shuttle-cocks!
“Locked in a Box?”:  Da’ Badgers’ D did its job, holding Akron to 10, but the O went “over” the total itself, droppin’ the ”lock” record to 1-1 (.500).  

Black Shirt: Goes to Sooooeeeeey Pig QB Austin Allen for the 5-yd TD-run in 2OT that validated our Arkansas over TCU “Upset Pick of da’ Week” over TCU! Close-second to Michigan DE Chris Wormley for blocking a pair of UCF FG-tries, preserving the Wolverines’ predicted-cover!
Shoppe Talk: The Suckeyes of Ohio State solidify their presence here at 0-2 (4-9-1, .308). Joining them at 0-2 (.000) are the Vols of Tennessee.

Vindy’s Week 3 Best Bets:   Last Week:   3-3   Season: 7-5 (.583) Vanderbilt +6 ½ over JOJA’ TECH, South Florida -14 over SYRACUSE, Buffalo +11 over NEVADA, Weeziana Tech +12 over TEXAS TECH, Navy-TULANE “under 43 ½”

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